Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.350489e-02 0.015206 0.016930 0.018802 0.020770 0.022774 0.024963
2025-05-11 1.046156e-02 0.013107 0.015918 0.019095 0.022559 0.026194 0.030276
2025-05-18 8.214152e-03 0.011371 0.014871 0.018961 0.023542 0.028458 0.034081
2025-05-25 6.306692e-03 0.009706 0.013640 0.018383 0.023824 0.029773 0.036682
2025-06-01 4.903113e-03 0.008428 0.012685 0.017966 0.024153 0.031026 0.039106
2025-06-08 3.773662e-03 0.007328 0.011816 0.017542 0.024382 0.032087 0.041243
2025-06-15 3.033943e-03 0.006631 0.011364 0.017547 0.025054 0.033603 0.043848
2025-06-22 2.250457e-03 0.005748 0.010589 0.017091 0.025125 0.034384 0.045578
2025-06-29 1.476468e-03 0.004721 0.009525 0.016198 0.024610 0.034436 0.046429
2025-07-06 8.821863e-04 0.003819 0.008535 0.015325 0.024064 0.034406 0.047146
2025-07-13 6.659094e-04 0.003551 0.008424 0.015582 0.024896 0.035995 0.049731
2025-07-20 3.969224e-04 0.003064 0.007934 0.015297 0.025026 0.036724 0.051294
2025-07-27 1.469001e-04 0.002461 0.007264 0.014830 0.025033 0.037451 0.053041
2025-08-03 4.789976e-05 0.002166 0.007079 0.015054 0.025965 0.039353 0.056252
2025-08-10 1.740644e-07 0.001779 0.006673 0.014929 0.026425 0.040668 0.058760
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001321 0.006037 0.014416 0.026337 0.041282 0.060408
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000976 0.005530 0.014046 0.026410 0.042073 0.062248
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000688 0.005048 0.013671 0.026446 0.042796 0.063991
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000527 0.004819 0.013676 0.026988 0.044148 0.066488
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000324 0.004367 0.013273 0.026940 0.044733 0.068035
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000130 0.003727 0.012486 0.026313 0.044550 0.068618
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000023 0.003141 0.011721 0.025675 0.044326 0.069127
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000008 0.003094 0.011945 0.026474 0.045971 0.071954